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Rafe Champion's avatar

Due to the combination of wind droughts and the cost of grid-scale storage there will never be a transition to wind and solar with existing technology. We should have learned something from the progress so far!

Trillions of dollars spent worldwide on wind and solar have delivered more expensive and less reliable power with severe environmental impacts.

The elephant in the room is the impact of severe wind droughts or dunkelflautes over continental areas, documented by Paul Miskelly and Anton Lang in Australia over a decade ago.

https://rafechampion.substack.com/p/the-late-discovery-of-wind-droughts

Dirt farmers are alert to the threat of rain droughts, but the wind farmers never checked the reliability of the wind supply.

Wind droughts become an existential threat to thousands or tens of thousands of people when the wind drought trap closes on a windless night during extreme weather conditions. See Texas in February 2021! Fluctuations in solar and wind input pose the same threat in the daytime where grids lack inertia, see the pain in Spain, 2025.

https://rafechampion.substack.com/p/defusing-the-wind-drought-trap

There is also the problem that wind and solar are parasites, living on more efficient sources of power.

https://rafechampion.substack.com/p/wind-and-solar-the-energy-thieves-a0c

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